But it is not going to be achievable militarily speaking any time in the next several months, in all likelihood. That remains a long term objective of the Ukrainians. And then on top of that, we've got a NATO that remains as unified as ever, even as we're heading into what will be a difficult winter energy wise for many European countries.Īnd the Ukrainian army is strong, but not strong enough that in the foreseeable future it can mount a strategic offensive to, say, retake all of its territories. And we can expect the Ukrainians over the next several weeks and months to continue to take towns, villages, cities and territory back from the Russians.
They're taking ground, even in the areas that Vladimir Putin claimed he's annexed into Russia, which means that that claim of annexation doesn't really match the situation on the ground. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians are very much on the offensive. Won't have any impact, even if he does manage to implement it effectively for many, many months. It's going to be very difficult to implement. Even with this mobilization order that Putin called. I think the strategic guidelines are set, meaning the Russian army has failed miserably on the ground, isn't likely to reconstitute itself to be able to regain the initiative offensive. It's not the frozen war that many people thought it would be. ROLF MOWATT-LARSSEN: Michael, I think we are seeing a situation that has strategically settled. How has the situation changed over the last month and why and where do things stand in the battlefield today? Just to give folks a starting point. I don't think we could have had you on the show again at a better time. A lot to talk about given everything that's happened in the last month. Okay, Rolf, let's jump into the latest on Russia-Ukraine. And we all know that's something that's sorely needed.
CALL OF DUTY 5 WORLD AT WAR SOVIET SONG HOW TO
So it's an organization that's trying to do some real serious thinking and work with other people who have good ideas on how to actually implement ideas that will, we can say, will tangibly make the world a little bit safer than it is. And the principal subjects we focus on are the threat of nuclear weapons, in other words, nuclear deterrence and nuclear risks, global nuclear order, and even more recently, an emphasis on bio threats, looking at existential risks of the 21st century. The Nuclear Threat Initiative is a nonprofit located in Washington, D.C., but with global connections that works on making the world a safer place.
ROLF MOWATT-LARSSEN: Yes, Michael, thanks for having me back. TRANSCRIPT: INTELLIGENCE MATTERS WITH ROLF MOWATT-LARSSEN So that puts Vladimir Putin in a very bad position because if that's successful, his options are also dwindling."ĭownload, rate and subscribe here: iTunes, Spotify and Stitcher. So that means that he's likely to continue to defy Putin by continuing his attacks and intensifying the battle on the ground. Why Ukraine isn't negotiating: "Zelensky also understands that if the West tries to pressure Ukraine to go to the negotiating table, to settle on some basis of where we are right now, it's capitulation for Ukraine.It's a reason why he limits those who are around him to a very, very small select of totally trusted people because he's aware he wants to minimize the possibilities that he could be deposed in any way." That's one reason he has no succession plan. And that might even apply to Vladimir Putin at some point in this war. That's one of the dangers of running an autocracy, that there's always someone from within who might decide you're more trouble than you're worth. Putin's hold on power: "No person, no leader in the world of an authoritarian country, is ever completely safe from other authoritarian minded people in that system.It is a way to try to strike back at an enemy you can't stop with an asymmetric weapon of mass destruction.
In other words, he can't use tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield to win a war he can't win with an army.
There's no military reason for Vladimir Putin to do this. I'm quite certain that all the Western leadership, based on at least the people I know and things I hear, are taking the threats very seriously.
0 kommentar(er)
